Cook Memorial Baptist Church

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Flood Watch issued September 25 at 9:06PM EDT until September 27 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to bepossible.* WHERE...Portions of southeast Alabama, including the followingareas, Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry and Houston, Florida, includingthe following areas, Calhoun, Central Walton, Coastal Bay, CoastalDixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Gulf, Coastal Jefferson, CoastalTaylor, Coastal Wakulla, Gadsden, Holmes, Inland Bay, InlandDixie, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, Inland Jefferson, InlandTaylor, Inland Wakulla, Jackson, Lafayette, Leon, Liberty,Madison, North Walton, South Walton and Washington, and Georgia,including the following areas, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks,Calhoun, Clay, Colquitt, Cook, Decatur, Dougherty, Early, Grady,Irwin, Lanier, Lee, Lowndes, Miller, Mitchell, Quitman, Randolph,Seminole, Terrell, Thomas, Tift, Turner and Worth.* WHEN...Through Friday morning.* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...- Unrelated to Hurricane Helene, pockets of heavy rainfalloccurred on Wednesday, with as much as 5 to 10 inchesoccurring. Looking forward to Thursday and Thursday night,Hurricane Helene will bring an additional 5 to 10 inches ofrain, with local amounts to near 15 inches. Heaviest amountsare expected from the Forgotten Coast near Apalachicolanorthward. Flash flooding should be expected, some of whichis likely to be considerable.- http://www.weather.gov/safety/floodYou should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible FloodWarnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be preparedto take action should flooding develop.

National Weather Service

Tropical Storm Warning issued September 25 at 11:22PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL* LOCATIONS AFFECTED- Panama City- Panama City Beach- Mexico Beach- Lynn Haven- Bayou George* WIND- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind- Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Thursdayafternoon until early Friday morning- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECASTUNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58to 73 mph- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from theprevious assessment.- PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropicalstorm force.- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and propertyshould be completed as soon as possible. Prepare forsignificant wind damage.- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along withdamage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A fewbuildings experiencing window, door, and garage doorfailures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greaternumbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Severalfences and roadway signs blown over.- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more withinurban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,and access routes impassable.- Scattered power and communications outages, but moreprevalent in areas with above ground lines.* STORM SURGE- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feetabove ground somewhere within surge prone areas- Window of concern: Thursday afternoon until Friday morning- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECASTUNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for stormsurge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from theprevious assessment.- PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 footabove ground.- PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding,especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditionsbecome unsafe.- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given foryour area.- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly alongimmediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areasfarther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots becomeoverspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerousin places where surge water covers the road.- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes,mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away frommoorings.* FLOODING RAIN- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locallyhigher amounts- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECASTUNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for extremeflooding rain- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady fromthe previous assessment.- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential forextreme flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescuesare likely.- PREPARE: Urgently consider protective actions from extremeand widespread rainfall flooding.- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to takeaction will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuationsand rescues.- Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow theirbanks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams,creeks, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood controlsystems and barriers may become stressed.- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiplecommunities, some structures becoming uninhabitable orwashed away. Numerous places where flood waters may coverescape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers ofraging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditionsbecome very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closureswith some weakened or washed out.* TORNADO- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECASTUNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a fewtornadoes- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from theprevious assessment.- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for afew tornadoes.- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable totornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter beforehazardous weather arrives.- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelterquickly.- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder theexecution of emergency plans during tropical events.- A few places may experience tornado damage, along withpower and communications disruptions.- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations oroverturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blownoff roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.* FOR MORE INFORMATION:- Local Weather Conditions and Forecasts: NWS Tallahassee- https://www.weather.gov/tallahassee- Information from the Florida Division of Emergency Management- https://www.floridadisaster.org- Information from Bay County Emergency Management- http://www.baycountyfl.gov/EmergencyManagement

National Weather Service

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